Question

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters165

Community Prediction2038-12-18 (2031-02-24 - 2040-12-31)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

<2019-07-24

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2040-12-31

...

0.7%

2031-02-24 03:12

2038-12-18 02:35

>2040-12-31 00:00

44.1%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

agentofuser

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Brain–computer interface

Elon Musk’s Cruel Brain Experiments

•Dec 14, 2024

Oh Gary, how could you: Elon Musk mocks US body amid Twitter stock probe

•Dec 14, 2024

Here’s How Much Elon Musk Companies Grew in Value in 2024

Observer (NY)•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-01-27

When will the first human head transplant occur?

2047-09-06

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

41.7%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

agentofuser

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Brain–computer interface

Elon Musk’s Cruel Brain Experiments

•Dec 14, 2024

Oh Gary, how could you: Elon Musk mocks US body amid Twitter stock probe

•Dec 14, 2024

Here’s How Much Elon Musk Companies Grew in Value in 2024

Observer (NY)•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-01-27

When will the first human head transplant occur?

2047-09-06

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

41.7%

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When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

Make a Prediction

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

When will the first human head transplant occur?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

Comments

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

When will the first human head transplant occur?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

When will the first human head transplant occur?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

When will the first human head transplant occur?

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?