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Question

When will Boris Johnson cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?

Resolved :Sep 6, 20222024-01-08
Total Forecasters80
Community Prediction2024-01-08 (2022-01-03 - 2026-03-15)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Jan 2022
medianJan 2024
upper 75%Mar 2026
Upper bound
>2030-01-014.1%

What was the final result?Sep 6, 2022

Community Baseline Score
3.7
Community Peer Score
21.5
Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolves:Sep 6, 2022

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