Question

Will Brexit happen by end of day, October 31st, 2019?

Resolved :No25%

89 comments89

Total Forecasters191

Community Prediction25% (17% - 38%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-0.2

Community Peer Score

17.7

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

CredibleHulk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU

United Kingdom

European Communities Act 1972 (UK)

Boris Johnson

Clouds on horizon as EU members meet to discuss relationship with UK

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Starmer faces first major Brexit test as unionists request Stormont brake

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

Will Mike Johnson's 'Plan C' Gambit Prevent a Government Shutdown?

Townhall•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

Comments

? comments