Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Short Fuse: Will more than 1000 protesters be arrested in Moscow on the 3rd of August 2019?

Resolved :Ambiguous56%
9
32
Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction56% (46% - 63%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 56%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

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Authors:
Sylvain
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2019 Leaderboard
Moscow
Protest

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