Question

Will the 2024 World Chess Champion be decided in the first 10 games?

Resolved :No20%

55 comments55

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction20% (17.6% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

62.9

Community Peer Score

1.1

Authors:

RuslanBes

Opened:

Nov 8, 2024

Closes:

Nov 9, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 8, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

RuslanBes

Opened:

Nov 8, 2024

Closes:

Nov 9, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 8, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Premier League Darts 2025: Schedule and results as Luke Littler looks to retain prestigious title

•Feb 28, 2025

Chess: England over-65s lead all the way to world senior team gold at Prague

Guardian•Feb 28, 2025

Premier League Darts 2025 dates, schedule, results, line-up and prize money

•Feb 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ju Wenjun win the Women's World Chess Championship 2025?

66%

Who will be the next #1 FIDE-ranked chess player?

Will Levy Rozman become a chess Grandmaster before 2030?

25%