Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

By how much will the new administration change the NIH budget in 2026 compared to 2024?

6
Total Forecasters1
Community Prediction-1.61 (-5.76 - 1.9)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<-50
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
-5.762
-1.608
1.896
0.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
bayesfactor
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
2024 Electoral Consequences
Politics
Health & Pandemics

Comments

? comments