M

Question

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before January 1, 2025?

0
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction2.7%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 2.7%
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
median 2.7%mean 5.6%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Include Bots:Yes
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Comments

? comments