Question

How many small firearms per capita will there be in the US in 2029?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction1.4 (1.18 - 1.68)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

1.179

1.404

1.677

6.1%

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Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Firearm Violence in the United States

•Dec 15, 2024

For Most U.S. Gun Owners, Protection Is the Main Reason They Own a Gun

•Dec 15, 2024

What the data says about gun deaths in the U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

629

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Firearm Violence in the United States

•Dec 15, 2024

For Most U.S. Gun Owners, Protection Is the Main Reason They Own a Gun

•Dec 15, 2024

What the data says about gun deaths in the U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

629

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

10%

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How many small firearms per capita will there be in the US in 2029?

Make a Prediction

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

Comments

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?