Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?

Resolved :No31%
4
4
Total Forecasters56
Community Prediction31% (25% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 31%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-8.9
Community Peer Score
26.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
sophia.magnone
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Business of AI
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Economy & Business
2016 Leaderboard
Google
Ray Kurzweil
Alphabet
Facebook
Google Search
Google Allo
Microsoft

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