Question

When will an AI pass the laugh test?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters94

Community Prediction2025-10-08

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2050-08-06

...

2024-04-17 18:54

2025-10-08 22:11

2029-06-22 20:06

8.1%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

2028-12-04

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

99%

How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?

1.37

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