Question

Will the significant discrepancies in Hubble parameter determinations be resolved by 2030 within the ΛCDM standard cosmological model?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction51.4% (40% - 60.6%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 51.4%

Authors:

jrdmb

Opened:

Aug 18, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Environmental science

Aerospace engineering

History Made As Webb Telescope Finds 44 Stars Near Big Bang — Here’s How It Did It

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

ESA’s Gaia Spacecraft Wraps Up Revolutionary Milky Way Mapping Mission

Forbes•Jan 27, 2025

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory gets started next year. I can't wait

New Scientist•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?

99%

Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

52%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jrdmb

Opened:

Aug 18, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Environmental science

Aerospace engineering

History Made As Webb Telescope Finds 44 Stars Near Big Bang — Here’s How It Did It

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

ESA’s Gaia Spacecraft Wraps Up Revolutionary Milky Way Mapping Mission

Forbes•Jan 27, 2025

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory gets started next year. I can't wait

New Scientist•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?

99%

Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

52%