Question

If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

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Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction2054-06

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lower 25%

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upper 75%

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2041-12

2054-06

2066-07

Authors:

tetraspace

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Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Genetically modified virus

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

2052-09

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

2036-12

Comments

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Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Genetically modified virus

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

2052-09

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

2036-12

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If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Make a Prediction

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Comments

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?