Question

If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

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Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction2054-06-06 (2041-12-24 - 2066-07-10)

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2041-12-24 04:36

2054-06-06 12:18

2066-07-10 07:06

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tetraspace

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Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Virology

Genetically modified virus

Biotechnology and Bioengineering

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

2052-08-27

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

2036-07-21

Comments

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Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Virology

Genetically modified virus

Biotechnology and Bioengineering

Global Health Risk Posed by 'Mirror Bacteria'

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

90 Seconds to Midnight: Surviving the Atomic Age | Opinion

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

A scientist working to create 'mirror life' discovered it could be 'a perfect bioweapon.' She's asking other researchers to stop.

Business Insider•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

2052-08-27

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

2036-07-21

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Make a Prediction

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Comments

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?