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Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

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Scheduled resolution:

The Curve

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Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

52.4%

Will the model weights of any AI system developed by a frontier AI lab be stolen or leaked before January 1, 2030?

Will the US restrict access to some APIs to generative AI before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Curve

Artificial Intelligence

Generative AI and Climate Change Are on a Collision Course

Wired•Dec 18, 2024

Language AIs in 2024: Size, guardrails and steps toward AI agents

The Conversation•Dec 20, 2024

Congress May Finally Take on AI in 2025

Time•Dec 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

52.4%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Will the model weights of any AI system developed by a frontier AI lab be stolen or leaked before January 1, 2030?

Will the US restrict access to some APIs to generative AI before 2030?

Comments

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Will the model weights of any AI system developed by a frontier AI lab be stolen or leaked before January 1, 2030?

Will the US restrict access to some APIs to generative AI before 2030?

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Will the model weights of any AI system developed by a frontier AI lab be stolen or leaked before January 1, 2030?

Will the US restrict access to some APIs to generative AI before 2030?

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Will the model weights of any AI system developed by a frontier AI lab be stolen or leaked before January 1, 2030?

Will the US restrict access to some APIs to generative AI before 2030?