πŸ”­ The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global β€” Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm β€” and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Bluesky reach 30 million users before 1 January 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%
14
42
Total Forecasters126
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
61.7
Community Peer Score
22.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
skmmcj
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
πŸ† Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup πŸ†
Technology
2024 Leaderboard

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