Question

Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?

Resolved :No

26 comments26

Total Forecasters113

Community Prediction39%

Make a Prediction

community: 39%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

33.8

Community Peer Score

21.6

median 39.0%mean 36.8%

Authors:

traviswfisher

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2016 US presidential election

Metaculus on the election

How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?

4.03

In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?

Comments

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