M

Question

When will the odds ratio of Metaculus' community prediction of the chance of AI catastrophe by 2100 either half or double from its value on 2019-08-21?

Resolved :Mar 1, 2020
11
9
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction2022-11-11

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2060-01-01
...
...
...
...
2020-09-10 16:01
2022-11-11 19:23
2029-12-31 17:21
1.0%

What was the final result?Mar 1, 2020

Community Baseline Score
0.1
Community Peer Score
0.2
Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
22nd century

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