🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many whooping cough cases will New Zealand report for weeks 51 and 52?

Resolved :219261
5
18
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction261 (233 - 288)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<50
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>550
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
233.4
261.1
287.8
0.3%

What was the final result?219

Community Baseline Score
41.3
Community Peer Score
22.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
skmmcj
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup
Health & Pandemics
2024 Leaderboard

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