MetaculusM

Question

Will any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks drop out before January 1, 2025?

Resolved :No0.7%

11

Total Forecasters108

Community Prediction0.7% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.7%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

18.4

Community Peer Score

40.1

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 29, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

2024 Leaderboard

Here's what Trump's Cabinet picks have in their investment portfolios — from bitcoin and Big Tech to index funds

Business Insider•Mar 2, 2025

Some Federal Agencies Offer Staff $25,000 Or More To Quit—As Trump Aims To Cut Workforce

Forbes•Mar 4, 2025

Trump needs a "designated survivor" for his joint address to Congress. Here's what it means and how it works.

CBS•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 29, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

2024 Leaderboard

Here's what Trump's Cabinet picks have in their investment portfolios — from bitcoin and Big Tech to index funds

Business Insider•Mar 2, 2025

Some Federal Agencies Offer Staff $25,000 Or More To Quit—As Trump Aims To Cut Workforce

Forbes•Mar 4, 2025

Trump needs a "designated survivor" for his joint address to Congress. Here's what it means and how it works.

CBS•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch