Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US Federal Reserve's balance sheet have under $4.3 trillion in U.S. treasury securities at the end of December 2024?

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Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction12% (10% - 22%)

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community: 12%
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johnnycaffeine
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Question Weight:50%
Include Bots:Yes
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