Question

Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2026?

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction50% (32% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Amazon's stock, which constitutes the majority of Jeff Bezos' wealth, surged to an all-time high share price of $207.09 on November 6, 2024.

Elon Musk's net worth reached a record $348 billion as of November 25, 2024, driven by a surge in Tesla's stock price.

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Dec 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 2, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Economy & Business

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Elon Musk’s net worth tops $400 billion, Forbes billionaires list shows

One America•Feb 16, 2025

Elon Musk's record $447 billion fortune means he's nearly $200 billion ahead of Jeff Bezos — and worth more than Costco

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Elon Musk becomes the first person on earth to reach a net worth of $400 billion

CNN•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk have quadruple the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2030?

10%

Will Elon Musk have triple the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2028?

15%

Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?

83%

Comments

? comments