🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

conditional
condition

Will France have a new Prime Minister before January 1, 2025?

Resolved :Yes
22 forecasters
if yes
if no

What will the closing price of CAC 40 be on December 31, 2024?

7.41k
Resolved :7.38k7.41k

What will the closing price of CAC 40 be on December 31, 2024?

7.4k
Resolved :Annulled7.4k
3
4

Make a Prediction

Will France have a new Prime Minister before January 1, 2025?

What will the closing price of CAC 40 be on December 31, 2024?

My Prediction
community
<7.1k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>7.5k
...
...
...
...
...
0.5%
7.364k
7.414k
7.47k
16.0%
Community Baseline Score
4.6
Community Peer Score
7.2
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
skmmcj
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
2024 Leaderboard

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