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Question

When will a cabinet-level nomination by Donald Trump be first confirmed by the Senate in 2025?

Resolved :Jan 20, 20252025-01-21
Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction2025-01-21 (2025-01-20 - 2025-01-21)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%20 Jan 2025
median21 Jan 2025
upper 75%21 Jan 2025
Upper bound
>2025-04-010.1%

What was the final result?Jan 20, 2025

Community Baseline Score
85.7
Community Peer Score
32.5
Opened:Dec 10, 2024
Closes:Mar 20, 2025
Resolves:Apr 1, 2025

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