Question

If the Chinese police or military intervenes in Hong Kong in September 2019, how many G20 countries will impose economic sanctions on China within a month?

Resolved :Ambiguous

10 comments10

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction2.62

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

1.147

2.625

5.079

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Economy & Business

People's Liberation Army

People's Armed Police

China

Economic sanctions

Hong Kong

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?

-2.36

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Economy & Business

People's Liberation Army

People's Armed Police

China

Economic sanctions

Hong Kong

China economy: Government gives $28 billion to local governments as it vows to meet economic targets

CNN•Oct 8, 2024

Chinese stocks suffer worst fall in 27 years over growth concerns

Guardian•Oct 9, 2024

China's Trade War With the West Intensifies

Newsweek•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?

-2.36

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%