Question
When will the first person reach 150 years of age?
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction2131-07-17 (2084-05-22 - 2175-04-29)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2058-05-23 | 1.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 2084 | — |
| median | 2131 | — |
| upper 75% | 2175 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2199-12-31 | 16.9% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
