Question

What is the probability that Gore will defeat Bush in the 2000 US Presidential Election?

Resolved :Annulled

50 comments50

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction6.45e-1

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My Prediction

community

<1e-2

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

33.6%

1e-2

6.45e-1

39.2

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2000 United States presidential election

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election?

95%

How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?

4.03

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2000 United States presidential election

Kamala Harris' Chances of Winning Florida Increase as Polls Tighten

Newsweek•Oct 2, 2024

Are You Ready for Another Bush v. Gore? The Supreme Court Is.

Mother Jones•Oct 4, 2024

Donald Trump at Risk of Losing Florida, Republican Poll Suggests

Newsweek•Oct 4, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election?

95%

How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?

4.03

MetaculusM

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What is the probability that Gore will defeat Bush in the 2000 US Presidential Election?

Make a Prediction

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election?

How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?

Comments

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election?

How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election?

How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election?

How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?