Question

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction

(2.5% - 9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Dec 12, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 15, 2024

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

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Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? → Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

168

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

10%

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