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Question

Will the majority of Russian soldiers in Syria withdraw before January 5, 2025?

4

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction7% (5% - 12%)

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50%

community: 7%

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Moscow Scrambles to Secure Syrian Bases Amid Withdrawal Signs

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Russian military has begun large-scale withdrawal from Syria, US and Western officials say

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Russia could lose key military bases in post-Assad Syria. Here are 3 potential scenarios for its presence.

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆

2024 Leaderboard

Moscow Scrambles to Secure Syrian Bases Amid Withdrawal Signs

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Russian military has begun large-scale withdrawal from Syria, US and Western officials say

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Russia could lose key military bases in post-Assad Syria. Here are 3 potential scenarios for its presence.

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch