Question

Will an EU country veto an extension of Brexit's deliberation before Oct 31st 2019?

Resolved :No1%

34 comments34

Total Forecasters84

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

46.7

Community Peer Score

6.0

Authors:

ghabs

Opened:

Sep 15, 2019

Closes:

Oct 31, 2019

Resolves:

Nov 1, 2019

Accession of Turkey to the EU

The UK is haunted by Johnson’s ‘botched Brexit deal’ and Labour’s plans for change don’t go far enough

Guardian•Jan 26, 2025

Britain’s government lacks a clear Europe policy

Economist•Jan 27, 2025

EU launches bid to force UK into backing down over Brexit fishing ban - as Labour plans to 'reset' relations with Brussels

Daily Mail•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Comments

? comments