Question

Which state will have the highest real GDP growth rate in Q3 2024: California, Texas or Illinois?

18 comments18

13 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 13

Texas

California

Illinois

Make a Prediction

US State		My Prediction		Me
ResolvedTexas	60.5%

Illinois	11.7%

California	27.7%

Total: ?

(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Texas

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

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Closes:

Resolves:

Include Bots:Yes

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Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

What will be the annualized percent real GDP growth rate in the United States from 2026 to 2028?

3.94

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

1.18

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Include Bots:Yes

Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Economy & Business

Map Shows States With Fastest-Growing Immigrant Populations

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

An Evenhanded Analysis of Trump’s Economic Policies

•Dec 20, 2024

Map Reveals States Driving Fastest Population Growth In Decades

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

What will be the annualized percent real GDP growth rate in the United States from 2026 to 2028?

3.94

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

1.18

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Which state will have the highest real GDP growth rate in Q3 2024: California, Texas or Illinois?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

What will be the annualized percent real GDP growth rate in the United States from 2026 to 2028?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

Comments

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

What will be the annualized percent real GDP growth rate in the United States from 2026 to 2028?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

What will be the annualized percent real GDP growth rate in the United States from 2026 to 2028?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

What will be the annualized percent real GDP growth rate in the United States from 2026 to 2028?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?