Question

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

63 comments63

Total Forecasters2001

Community Prediction

(3.8% - 15%)

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50%

community: 8%

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Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Dec 20, 2024

Closes:

Dec 13, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 27, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

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Future Perfect

Politics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Donald Trump's Approval Rating Worse Than First Term: Fox News Poll

Newsweek•Apr 24, 2025

With Trump facing fewer obstacles today than in 2016, he’s got a lot of green space ahead of him

New York Post•Apr 24, 2025

Fox News Poll: The first 100 days of President Trump’s second term

FOX News•Apr 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?

60%

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?

0.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Dec 20, 2024

Closes:

Dec 13, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 27, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮

Future Perfect

Politics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Donald Trump's Approval Rating Worse Than First Term: Fox News Poll

Newsweek•Apr 24, 2025

With Trump facing fewer obstacles today than in 2016, he’s got a lot of green space ahead of him

New York Post•Apr 24, 2025

Fox News Poll: The first 100 days of President Trump’s second term

FOX News•Apr 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?

60%

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?

0.4%

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

Make a Prediction

Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?

Comments

Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?

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