Question

Will the Mars 2020 helicopter fly?

Resolved :Yes80%

25 comments25

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction80% (70% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

58.2

Community Peer Score

3.1

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Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Economy & Business

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

The spy drone lurking above our heads: British-built solar powered aircraft can quietly cruise through the stratosphere for months at a time

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

NASA thinks it’s figured out why the Mars helicopter crashed

Verge•Dec 14, 2024

Perseverance rover is about to see some of the oldest rocks on Mars

CNN•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?

34%

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

20%

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

85.3%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Economy & Business

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

The spy drone lurking above our heads: British-built solar powered aircraft can quietly cruise through the stratosphere for months at a time

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

NASA thinks it’s figured out why the Mars helicopter crashed

Verge•Dec 14, 2024

Perseverance rover is about to see some of the oldest rocks on Mars

CNN•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?

34%

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

20%

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

85.3%

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Will the Mars 2020 helicopter fly?

Make a Prediction

Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Comments

Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?