Question

Will the Mars 2020 helicopter fly?

Resolved :Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction80%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

58.2

Community Peer Score

3.1

median 80.0%mean 75.5%

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?

34%

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

20%

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

85.3%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elon Musk’s SpaceX is trying for second successful ‘Mechazilla’ rocket catch with new Starship launch

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

Solar-powered aircraft achieves groundbreaking 22-hour autonomous flight

FOX News•Nov 14, 2024

UK flying taxi firm pins hopes on investors as cash runs short

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?

34%

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

20%

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

85.3%