Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Mars have a permanent population of 10,000 before the Moon does?

39
41
Total Forecasters239
Community Prediction39.1% (20% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 39.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
SynthBioWpnsKill1GHum2050
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
Phobos (moon)
Deimos (moon)
Earth
Mars
Moon
Colonization of Mars
SpaceX

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