🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will at least 20 US states legalize the recreational use of cannabis?

Resolved :Dec 9, 20222023-02-06
26
58
Total Forecasters123
Community Prediction2023-02-06 (2022-11-13 - 2023-07-17)

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2030-10-06
...
...
...
...
2022-11-13 23:19
2023-02-06 20:16
2023-07-17 20:18
0.3%

What was the final result?Dec 9, 2022

Community Baseline Score
18.0
Community Peer Score
6.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
randallburns
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
Politics
Timeline of cannabis laws in the United States
United States
Legality of cannabis by U.S. jurisdiction

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