Question
How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 555
Make a Prediction
| Number Confirmed | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolved6 to 8 | 88.3% | |||
2 or fewer | 0.1% | |||
3 to 5 | 0.1% | |||
9 to 11 | 11.3% | |||
12 to 14 | 0.1% | |||
15 or more | 0.1% | |||
Total: ?
(? remaining)Which of these actually happened?6 to 8
Community Baseline Score
52.1
Community Peer Score
46.9
Authors:
Opened:Jan 3, 2025
Closes:Feb 1, 2025
Resolves:Feb 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jan 3, 2025
Closes:Feb 1, 2025
Resolves:Feb 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch