Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?

3
29
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction55% (50% - 63.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 55%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
randallburns
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Fragile States Index
Fund for Peace
United States

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