Question

What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election?

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction21.6 (19.7 - 24.1)

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	<10	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>30
community	0.2%	19.73	21.59	24.06	1.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<10	0.2%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	19.73	—
median	21.59	—
upper 75%	24.06	—
Upper bound
>30	1.3%	—

Authors:

maximilian.janisch

Opened:

Jan 9, 2025

Closed:

Feb 22, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Mar 1, 2025

Politics

Elections

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