🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will either a space elevator or a skyhook transport at least 10 metric tons (cumulative payloads) before 2046?

12
17
Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction4% (1% - 11.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
randallburns
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
Astronomy
Physics
Skyhook (structure)
Space elevator
Wikipedia
Science fiction
Earth
Earth's orbit
Low Earth orbit
Moon

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