🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025?

2
2
42 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 42

Make a Prediction

Seconds to midnightMe
59 or fewer
0.5%
60 to 79
12.2%
80 to 89
48.5%
90 seconds to midnight (unchanged)
36.6%
91 to 100
2%
101 to 120
0.1%
121 or more
0.1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup
FIEC675 Prediction Tournament #2
Environment & Climate
Geopolitics

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