Question
Will Greenland become independent before 2035?
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction12% (7% - 45%)
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2025
Closes:Dec 30, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034
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Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025?
4%
Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?
2%
Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?
2%
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2025
Closes:Dec 30, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025?
4%
Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?
2%
Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?
2%