Question

Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?

31 comments31

Total Forecasters1199

Community Prediction23% (12.8% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 23%

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

A far-right party is heading for its strongest result yet in Germany’s election. Here’s what to know

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

What is the ‘firewall’ against the far-right Alternative for Germany party?

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

What to Know About German Far-Right Party AfD

Time•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election?

21.6

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?

30%

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

11%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

A far-right party is heading for its strongest result yet in Germany’s election. Here’s what to know

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

What is the ‘firewall’ against the far-right Alternative for Germany party?

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

What to Know About German Far-Right Party AfD

Time•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election?

21.6

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?

30%

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

11%