Question
When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility?
Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction
12 Dec 2025
(30 Aug 2025 - 31 Dec 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 30 Aug 2025 | — |
| median | 12 Dec 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | >31 Dec 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >176722554000% | 45.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 17, 2025
Closes:Sep 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 17, 2025
Closes:Sep 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2025
