Question

Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

51 comments51

Total Forecasters1661

Community Prediction

35%

(24% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

Trump and Putin begin addressing cumulated geo-strategic debris… amidst Trump’s ultimatum to Iran

Strategic Culture•Mar 24, 2025

Fed Uncertainty? Tariff Wars? Canada A 51st State? All Part Of A Changing World Order

Forbes•Mar 22, 2025

There are two huge national security questions at the heart of the Trump regime

AlterNet•Mar 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?

39%

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

Sep 2044

Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression explicitly due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?

69%

Comments

? comments