Question

Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

32 comments32

Total Forecasters1669

Community Prediction

30%

(20% - 42%)

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50%

community: 30%

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Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

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Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026?

Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?

18%

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

Oct 2044

Comments

? comments

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

Is This the Twilight of China?

Red State•Apr 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026?

Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?

18%

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

Oct 2044

Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026?

Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

Comments

Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026?

Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

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