Question

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters1

Community PredictionRevealed

in 3 days

Make a Prediction

50%

Authors:

cporro

Opened:

Feb 20, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Economy & Business

2025 Leaderboard

These are the 4 biggest forces that will shape the stock market in 2025

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Evercore ISI sees more S&P 500 gains next year on Trump and a bull case of 7,400

CNBC•Feb 16, 2025

One of Wall Street's biggest bulls sees the S&P 500 soaring 16% early next year before a sharp sell-off in the 2nd half

Business Insider•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

cporro

Opened:

Feb 20, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Economy & Business

2025 Leaderboard

These are the 4 biggest forces that will shape the stock market in 2025

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Evercore ISI sees more S&P 500 gains next year on Trump and a bull case of 7,400

CNBC•Feb 16, 2025

One of Wall Street's biggest bulls sees the S&P 500 soaring 16% early next year before a sharp sell-off in the 2nd half

Business Insider•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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