MetaculusM

Question

Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025?

3

Total Forecasters37

Community PredictionRevealed

in 7 hours

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50%

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 24, 2025

Closes:

Mar 23, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 6, 2025

🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Trump won’t rule out force to take Greenland – a country with a complex colonial history

The Conversation•Jan 21, 2025

Greenland Is Not for Sale

Jacobin•Jan 21, 2025

Greenland has no ‘ambition’ to join United States – but independence from Denmark possible, minister says

New York Post•Jan 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Greenland become independent before 2035?

Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Jan 24, 2025

Closes:

Mar 23, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 6, 2025

🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Trump won’t rule out force to take Greenland – a country with a complex colonial history

The Conversation•Jan 21, 2025

Greenland Is Not for Sale

Jacobin•Jan 21, 2025

Greenland has no ‘ambition’ to join United States – but independence from Denmark possible, minister says

New York Post•Jan 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Greenland become independent before 2035?

Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?