Question

Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters112

Community Prediction1.9% (0.1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1.9%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jan 24, 2025

Closes:

Mar 23, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 6, 2025

Greenland election: What it means for Donald Trump

Independent•Mar 8, 2025

Independence in focus in Greenland vote, with Trump as backdrop

Raw Story•Mar 8, 2025

Greenland is about to hold elections in which Trump has increased the stakes

CNN•Mar 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?

Will Greenland become independent before 2035?

12%

Will any top US official visit Greenland in 2025?

50%

Comments

? comments