Question

Will the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds target rate or lower bound to 0% or lower before January 1 2021?

Resolved :Yes

32 comments32

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction13%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 13%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-143.5

Community Peer Score

-4.1

median 13.0%mean 16.3%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Federal Reserve

Federal Open Market Committee

Federal funds rate

Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050?

59%

Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?

After 2022, how many times will the US policy rate reach the zero lower bound?

3.09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Federal Reserve

Federal Open Market Committee

Federal funds rate

Investors are underestimating how deep rate cuts will be in 2025, Goldman says

Business Insider•Nov 15, 2024

Fed’s Powell: Rate cuts are still underway, but there’s no hurry

CNN•Nov 15, 2024

Jerome Powell says Fed Isn't in Hurry to Cut Interest Rates

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050?

59%

Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?

After 2022, how many times will the US policy rate reach the zero lower bound?

3.09