Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will 100 people or more be in space, or on any astronomical body other than earth, simultaneously?

29
30
Total Forecasters117
Community Prediction2030-01-01 (2030-01-01 - 2030-01-01)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2030-01-01
...
...
...
...
>2030-01-01 00:00
>2030-01-01 00:00
>2030-01-01 00:00
82.6%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
Physics
Atmospheric science
Earth
Space colonization
Aerospace engineering
Kármán line

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