Question
By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?
Total Forecasters237
Community Prediction
16.8 people
(13.7 - 22.6)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 13.74 | — |
median | 16.82 | — |
upper 75% | 22.61 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100 | 1.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2019
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2019