Question
By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?
Total Forecasters236
Community Prediction16.9 (13.7 - 22.9)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 13.74 | — |
median | 16.89 | — |
upper 75% | 22.85 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100 | 1.7% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch