Question

If Donald Trump is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives, will the U.S. Senate take the referral to a vote?

Resolved :Yes

23 comments23

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction90%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

83.5

Community Peer Score

16.2

median 90.0%mean 86.9%

Authors:

converse

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

US House of Representatives

Mitch McConnell

Impeachment of Donald Trump

Impeachment in the United States

Donald Trump

US Senate

Mike Johnson Helped Save an Establishment Republican Who Voted to Impeach Donald Trump

Breitbart•Nov 12, 2024

Can Donald Trump Be Tried Again if Juan Merchan Tosses His Case?

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Two Republicans who voted to impeach Trump after Jan. 6 return to the House

NBC•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?

0.5%

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

17%

Comments

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