Question

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is greater than $20 per kg?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction33.2

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<10

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>70

...

1.2%

28.72

33.24

37.7

0.5%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Animal Welfare Series

US Department of Agriculture

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?

33.1

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is less than $8 per kg?

26.7

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

12.4

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Animal Welfare Series

US Department of Agriculture

‘It should not taste marine-like’: Would you eat a burger made from processed sea squirts?

Guardian•Nov 12, 2024

Americans Are Eating Less Meat Because It Costs Too Much

Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

At the UN COP29 Climate Conference: Yet Another Tiresome Proposed Sin Tax on Meat

Red State•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?

33.1

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is less than $8 per kg?

26.7

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

12.4