Question

[PRACTICE] Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

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Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction15% (15% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 16, 2025

Closed:

Jan 16, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 15, 2025

Question Weight:0%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Would This Keep the Chinese Out of Taiwan?

Red State•Jan 26, 2025

Provocation? Chinese Planes, Ships Carry Out 'Combat Readiness Patrols' Near Philippine-Claimed Territory

Red State•Jan 27, 2025

World Map Shows Most Dangerous Conflicts for US in 2025

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

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Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

10.9%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

50%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Jan 16, 2025

Closed:

Jan 16, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 15, 2025

Question Weight:0%

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Would This Keep the Chinese Out of Taiwan?

Red State•Jan 26, 2025

Provocation? Chinese Planes, Ships Carry Out 'Combat Readiness Patrols' Near Philippine-Claimed Territory

Red State•Jan 27, 2025

World Map Shows Most Dangerous Conflicts for US in 2025

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

10.9%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

50%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%